TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics61c1,307$803 inWon+$504.384,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Athletics67c899.16$600 inWon+$299.162770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels35c734.49$254 inLost-$254.0712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels33c655.16$216 inLost-$216.210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels39c595.36$232 inLost-$232.198,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Angels37c215$79 inLost-$78.8399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Los Angeles Angels39c78.51$31 inLost-$30.6221948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0622…cbc0backed Los Angeles Angels38c77.71$30 inLost-$29.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels38c71$27 inLost-$26.982,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Athletics62c58$36 inWon+$22.0446854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Athletics62c58$36 inWon+$22.0472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels38c50$19 inLost-$191,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Athletics61c33.54$20 inWon+$13.086459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Athletics62c19.97$12 inWon+$7.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed Athletics62c19.63$12 inWon+$7.464100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed Athletics62c19.42$12 inWon+$7.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+141.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Athletics62c18.69$12 inWon+$7.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Athletics64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.6348651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Athletics64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.6326351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.