Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47d937648ac1f446f96e1e417210ea5e910f1f2a8ecb3661c2578d0780882d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Over | 48c | 8,391$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.23 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,148$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 327.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Under | 50c | 286.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 60c | 155.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Over | 50c | 109.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Over | 50c | 75.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 50c | 71.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 50c | 70.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Over | 50c | 69.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 52c | 42.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 48c | 33.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…7f64backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Under | 50c | 28.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Under | 50c | 27.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 50c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Under | 50c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.