Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46edaa8fc26b9cde5387aecea1bace9240afd21252056ae24056cbf94e67780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 61c | 30,308$18,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,911.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 15,134$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ea50backed No | 0c | 12,183$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 30c | 3,573$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.2 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Yes | 68c | 2,316$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.18 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,170$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,029$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 46c | 1,776$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.95 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 33c | 1,701$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,581$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.21 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 28c | 1,440$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 40c | 1,022$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.48 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed No | 40c | 843.28$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked Yes | 69c | 721$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 48c | 603.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 397.07$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 302.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 30c | 240.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 223.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…9570backed No | 31c | 214.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed No | 31c | 207.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 22c | 201.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2f…c7bfbacked Yes | 47c | 171$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…fd09backed Yes | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…8838backed Yes | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked No | 54c | 147.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 66c | 144.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…9911backed Yes | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…8edbbacked Yes | 66c | 129.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 33c | 128.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 44c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 32c | 119.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…44ffbacked No | 51c | 110.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked Yes | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 40c | 97.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 91.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 28c | 79.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…f383backed No | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 39c | 62.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…7e3abacked No | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…f665backed No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 56.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…aeaebacked No | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…6c42backed No | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…e4d1backed No | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…dc9cbacked Yes | 33c | 46.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…e8efbacked No | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…e224backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…9dc1backed No | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…c267backed No | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 59c | 38.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b42ebacked Yes | 45c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…c024backed No | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…f19dbacked Yes | 35c | 31.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…00ddbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…6bb5backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…8f13backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…db17backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac66…5c02backed No | 70c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Yes | 46c | 23.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…e6f1backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…777fbacked No | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…9c74backed Yes | 78c | 19.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…fbcebacked No | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?this page
- Will Seton Hall win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?No won
- Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?No won
- Will Xavier win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?No won
- Will another team win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.