Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47009472c663fc6ad433b992f695ba11410dd510641e2e17729312f6658a54fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orzeł Barcząca Esportsof Orzeł Barcząca Esports, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,891 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Forsaken | 60c | 1,106$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.13 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 36c | 497.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.68 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 32c | 298.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 50c | 200.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 62c | 152$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Forsaken | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Forsaken | 41c | 148.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Forsaken | 61c | 122.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Forsaken | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 756 | 49.6%375 W · 381 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Forsaken | 64c | 27.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (+1.5)Orzeł Barcząca Esports won
- Game Handicap: FSK (-2.5) vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (+2.5)Orzeł Barcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
- LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 3 WinnerOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.