TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Orzeł Barcząca Esportsof Forsaken, Orzeł Barcząca Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9b4…75a0backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports44c2,425$1,055 inWon+$1,369.639245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Forsaken56c1,790$1,002 inLost-$1,002.3961045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Forsaken57c1,000$570 inLost-$57010541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports44c666$293 inWon+$372.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Forsaken56c394$223 inLost-$222.611,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports44c90.91$40 inWon+$50.915034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Forsaken55c24.36$13 inLost-$13.382554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Forsaken57c21.03$12 inLost-$11.9912458.1%72 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.