TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over46c111,201$50,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,707.081,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c25,755$13,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,767.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under55c21,044$11,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,469.7771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under54c19,998$10,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.0885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under55c12,647$6,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,685.341,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c6,722$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.16,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c3,600$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under54c3,284$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.3273949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under54c3,284$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.3279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over44c3,057$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.234942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c2,947$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.24,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c2,128$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.771,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c1,790$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.076,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c1,580$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.721,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,118$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.272,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c1,053$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.184,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c1,026$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.671,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c1,024$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c914.03$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.012,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under54c888$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.481,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c745.63$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under53c699.81$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9128751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under54c636.87$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under54c624$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.043,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under54c554.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1111751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c465$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under54c464.67$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.742,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Under54c424.61$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18027952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c392$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.841,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under56c363.57$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under54c359$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.141,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under54c343.68$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.122050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under54c335.58$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2640447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under65c328.28$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.958,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under45c298.76$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.321,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under54c259.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.574355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…ce6cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Over45c205$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.259446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over17c200.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under56c193$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.922,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under55c192.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.671,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under54c166.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3758352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under56c165.34$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7538551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c144.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8368053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Under54c135.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.423847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under54c130.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c117.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.232,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c117.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c76.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.772,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6827448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8599…ad67backed Under54c70.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c62.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.761,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.285858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under55c61.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Over57c55.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8815340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over41c53.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.161,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under54c42.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over41c39.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5140048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under54c39.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under60c37.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8825355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…b200backed Over32c36.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8413152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7115841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1da…3b79backed Under58c33.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under52c32.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.733,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under54c32.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over50c30.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3379955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Under68c28.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3317160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under54c27.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.556048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under55c27.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.269755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under45c26.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8431446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Under56c26.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4717952%93 W · 86 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…86d8backed Under56c23.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8230960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under56c21.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3531957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under56c18.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1730554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.