TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers41c81,097$33,347 inWon+$47,750.121,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels59c51,514$30,322 inLost-$30,321.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c24,405$14,399 inLost-$14,399.0611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels60c2,333$1,409 inLost-$1,409.111,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers41c2,178$883 inWon+$1,295.036,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,902$1,122 inLost-$1,122.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels58c1,778$1,023 inLost-$1,022.894,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels25c697.61$172 inLost-$171.552,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers74c595.13$440 inWon+$155.088,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels30c391.99$118 inLost-$117.65,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers69c358.39$246 inWon+$112.412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Texas Rangers41c300$123 inWon+$17758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels59c272.59$161 inLost-$160.838,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels59c243$143 inLost-$143.3792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels59c226.45$134 inLost-$133.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Los Angeles Angels60c220.96$132 inLost-$131.8727448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers41c200$81 inWon+$1192,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Angels52c169.23$88 inLost-$87.761,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels13c164$22 inLost-$21.821,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Los Angeles Angels61c163.93$100 inLost-$10011655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Angels13c150$20 inLost-$19.582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Angels59c113.72$67 inLost-$67.3847852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers38c110.36$42 inWon+$68.422,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Angels37c94.13$35 inLost-$35.2279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels60c53.21$32 inLost-$31.91,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Texas Rangers77c52.74$41 inWon+$11.9817160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels59c51$30 inLost-$30.091,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Los Angeles Angels60c49.99$30 inLost-$29.8334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Texas Rangers41c36.59$15 inWon+$21.5924444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Angels59c36$21 inLost-$21.241,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers40c31.64$13 inWon+$18.983,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Angels60c22$13 inLost-$13.21,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeed…3aecbacked Los Angeles Angels61c20.69$13 inLost-$12.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Los Angeles Angels59c20$12 inLost-$11.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers79c19.14$15 inWon+$41,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.