MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd42d5461a2805ff7453bdc4f555bdb7a84f8c1f1dc6ec242e8028333572ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 84,308$45,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,234.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 32,830$15,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,430.1 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 20,932$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 12,982$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.07 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 8,622$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.34 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 4,085$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 2,845$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 1,993$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.71 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 53c | 1,006$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 65c | 771.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 37c | 646.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.89 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 61c | 619.03$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.26 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 541.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 434.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 78c | 316.16$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 303.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 234.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 202.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 152.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 101.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 47c | 77.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 47c | 77.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 60c | 67.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 48c | 56.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Under | 64c | 54.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 52.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 41.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 47c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 54c | 19.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.