CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb997807888a4c73d319c52e491ce6feb200ba8a7dd18b37988f9fb3bbe5b86cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Metizport | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Prestige | 45c | 3,921$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.81 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Prestige | 46c | 2,552$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.2 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Metizport | 58c | 1,700$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.99 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Metizport | 62c | 1,354$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.63 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…c163backed Prestige | 43c | 1,322$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Metizport | 1c | 994.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Prestige | 45c | 894.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.35 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Prestige | 31c | 295$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Metizport | 71c | 226.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Metizport | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Prestige | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Prestige | 32c | 198.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Metizport | 31c | 180.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Prestige | 36c | 165.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…4af9backed Prestige | 34c | 153.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Metizport | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Prestige | 63c | 148.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Prestige | 34c | 133.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Metizport | 50c | 119.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Prestige | 44c | 96.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Prestige | 61c | 92.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 328 | 61.9%203 W · 125 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Metizport | 72c | 88.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Prestige | 34c | 63.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Metizport | 38c | 38.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Metizport | 59c | 38.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Prestige | 63c | 36.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…9f66backed Prestige | 36c | 35.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…af50backed Prestige | 60c | 35.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Metizport | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked Metizport | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…86d8backed Metizport | 42c | 27.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Metizport | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Metizport | 67c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Metizport | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Metizport | 69c | 15.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.