MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bc8368cf19943825bc4f2549ef97a50007b47df6a3378ab15631ad192f74dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 16,344$9,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 14,319$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 10,561$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 10,099$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 4,959$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,628$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.09 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,307$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,519$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 982.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 920.45$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 620.09$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 599.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…4ebcbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 455.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 363.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 344.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 223.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 220.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 208.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 198.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 181.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c9…0581backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 174.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 171.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 153.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Boston Red Sox | 22c | 145.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 128.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 125.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 98.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 86.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 81.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 78.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 77.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 77.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 70.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 68.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 66.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 64.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 60.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 52.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6b…7d19backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 52.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…f417backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 46.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 46.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 45.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 44.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 43.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 39.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 37.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 36.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 34.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 32.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 24.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…4d1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 23.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 23.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…342ebacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 23.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.