TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Livesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mai Hontamaof Diane Parry, Mai Hontama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Diane Parry49c9,400$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.548,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mai Hontama70c6,850$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.244,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mai Hontama47c6,823$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.343,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Diane Parry68c4,357$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9631,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mai Hontama69c4,080$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.81,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Diane Parry4c2,884$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5652739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Diane Parry44c2,756$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.38,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Diane Parry5c2,467$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Mai Hontama36c2,194$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.4411143.2%48 W · 63 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Diane Parry2c2,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Mai Hontama45c1,797$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.7336545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa317…344dbacked Diane Parry68c1,592$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0836162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mai Hontama38c1,243$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5232031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Diane Parry45c1,116$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Diane Parry58c999.85$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.919,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Diane Parry64c985.5$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7261152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Diane Parry21c816.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1638422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Diane Parry64c739.11$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.031,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mai Hontama35c735.8$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.842,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Diane Parry59c673.2$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9537444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Diane Parry44c637.41$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mai Hontama36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3847,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Diane Parry54c555.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Diane Parry63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Diane Parry64c492.75$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3627653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Diane Parry65c485.17$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3627254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mai Hontama63c457.13$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.363,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Diane Parry61c408.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Diane Parry31c390.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.392,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Diane Parry63c376.1$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.944,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Mai Hontama36c372.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4799249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mai Hontama62c356.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.936,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Mai Hontama37c350.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.861,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diane Parry59c326.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.012,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Diane Parry33c318.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10546440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Diane Parry36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Diane Parry64c264.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5252847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Diane Parry56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Mai Hontama41c244.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.855166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Diane Parry41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Diane Parry47c242.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2172147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Mai Hontama59c240.44$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.782958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d5…e1debacked Diane Parry67c223.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Diane Parry53c212.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Diane Parry7c211.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87512%9 W · 66 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Diane Parry34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6836154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Diane Parry43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mai Hontama36c199.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.442,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mai Hontama61c190.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.682,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Diane Parry36c187.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.631,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Diane Parry54c183.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Diane Parry23c182.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1316258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Mai Hontama60c164.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6426253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mai Hontama54c161.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.115,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mai Hontama67c157.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.114,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Mai Hontama58c136$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6837266.7%248 W · 124 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Mai Hontama56c129$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0646957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mai Hontama36c126$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.647,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Diane Parry60c123.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.991,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Diane Parry45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mai Hontama42c114.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.73,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc809…9cddbacked Diane Parry66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Diane Parry29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Diane Parry51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.293945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Mai Hontama69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9614856.8%84 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Diane Parry64c86.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.097360.3%44 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diane Parry48c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked Diane Parry46c82.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.044949%24 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Mai Hontama68c80.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.932,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ba…41e6backed Diane Parry64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Mai Hontama77c77.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9336378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Diane Parry44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Diane Parry33c74.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.562,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Diane Parry47c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3136954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Diane Parry45c72.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Mai Hontama39c67.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.461,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9a…3333backed Mai Hontama43c67.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Diane Parry64c65.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Mai Hontama80c62.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mai Hontama58c61.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mai Hontama36c55.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.545,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Diane Parry52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.071,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b4…12b2backed Diane Parry42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+72.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Diane Parry65c43.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9922366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Diane Parry45c42.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.225653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Diane Parry45c42.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.225851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Diane Parry45c42.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.229161.5%56 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mai Hontama57c42.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.536,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Mai Hontama71c42.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2533062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Mai Hontama37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.228442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Mai Hontama35c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Diane Parry50c36.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1231161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…422ebacked Mai Hontama42c34.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88158%47 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Mai Hontama35c32.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.191,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mai Hontama65c32.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mai Hontama51c31.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Mai Hontama36c31.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Diane Parry50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed Mai Hontama76c26.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3211372.6%82 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick77cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Mai Hontama61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0212767.7%86 W · 41 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.