Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc9b84963c386c67b7d3dd7da1c7b7cf2aefdf210915afb375fe10dbb1f961e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugandaof Tanzania, Uganda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Uganda | 65c | 495.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tanzania | 26c | 490.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…5c88backed Tanzania | 32c | 409.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Tanzania | 40c | 337.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tanzania | 21c | 321.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Uganda | 74c | 300.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Tanzania | 27c | 269.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tanzania | 25c | 259.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 269 | 29.4%79 W · 190 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Tanzania | 55c | 230.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tanzania | 68c | 204.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Uganda | 75c | 173.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Uganda | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tanzania | 20c | 151.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Tanzania | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Uganda | 37c | 134.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Tanzania | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Tanzania | 25c | 119.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Tanzania | 25c | 119.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uganda | 60c | 113.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Tanzania | 60c | 101.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Tanzania | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Tanzania | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Tanzania | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Uganda | 48c | 79.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Uganda | 49c | 78.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Uganda | 74c | 74.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Uganda | 75c | 70.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4781backed Uganda | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Tanzania | 27c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Tanzania | 24c | 53.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Tanzania | 54c | 49.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…4b21backed Tanzania | 45c | 47.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tanzania | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Tanzania | 25c | 40.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Tanzania | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Tanzania | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Tanzania | 41c | 38.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Uganda | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Uganda | 79c | 34.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Tanzania | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Tanzania | 38c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 110 | 6.4%7 W · 103 L | -18.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Uganda | 57c | 22.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…ba60backed Uganda | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Uganda | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Uganda | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Uganda | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Tanzania | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…47ebbacked Uganda | 80c | 14.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.