Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b920220a28c4942751bd6cdd80d67bcac10d5efc16add42f96409eb920acaf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,624$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 74c | 1,777$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 1,766$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.97 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 826.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 541.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 343.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Yes | 78c | 315.09$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 263.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 22c | 209.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 150.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 27c | 146.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 65c | 118.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 24c | 113.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 55c | 98.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 58c | 97.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 72c | 90.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 32c | 62.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 62.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 51c | 62.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 54.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 39c | 53.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 52.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 46.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 37c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 50c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 35c | 29.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 52c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.