Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a755461fd071af309db4e530f2fa3c2760226835418f38a1b3d1101b8fef7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.96 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 7,781$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.93 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 3,312$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.61 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 2,508$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 69c | 2,496$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.9 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,521$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 32c | 554.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 509$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 495.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 418.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 291.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 68c | 178.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 69c | 162.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 13c | 107.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 72c | 94.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes | 25c | 80.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed Yes | 34c | 57.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 67c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 41.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 68c | 31.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 68c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 76c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.