TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes48c49,999$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes25c10,619$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.422944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c8,391$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.212,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No52c8,248$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c7,782$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.092,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c6,981$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.012,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c6,612$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.187745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c5,415$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.045,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c5,273$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.2818743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes47c4,536$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes59c4,409$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.9413332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes44c3,852$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7013855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c3,022$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.2877350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c2,929$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.772,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c2,772$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.9385250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes49c2,603$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No42c2,420$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.91643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No56c2,350$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.99650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No57c2,097$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.867231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c1,617$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.551842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c1,074$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0673440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6155…808ebacked No54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick33cpaid+447.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes20c953.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked No52c684$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No52c684$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes40c668.27$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3146044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No59c651$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9121151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No51c642.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0632436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes58c606.52$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.783330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed No42c505$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No53c500.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes49c469.39$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No51c457.92$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.382646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No54c448.09$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4217650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No52c420.58$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.478956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Yes48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.162218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c411.63$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.321,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013056.2%73 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes44c375.52$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2391148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c365.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.341,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c361$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No41c345.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.94845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No59c344.42$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.211258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes43c335.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1610541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c307$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7638147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14137049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No46c295$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.314759.9%88 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Yes77c260$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242487.5%21 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+55.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c237$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2863849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52e…285cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9654650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf6…c582backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes48c198.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.239647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes42c193.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.197470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.642763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c161.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1271533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4411520.9%24 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No56c145.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5519146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c140.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.57,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes73c129.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.341,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c124.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.061,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes24c117.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4523348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010054%54 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No51c104.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.825263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8117529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3410936.7%40 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.765655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Yes47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+66.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes73c85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes52c80.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3832257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…7040backed Yes38c78.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No53c75.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.948050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x643f…50acbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes54c66.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8455954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes59c63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9529754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes47c61.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes44c61.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f53…12cabacked Yes17c58.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf4…d0b2backed No52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.914042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No52c50.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.493345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2533853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.