Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Essex vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cf13b8d45ebd388965fb2f70f49528baad4b72d9a5f53a995b9ca1b845b033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampshireof Essex, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 26c | 1,267$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.89 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hampshire | 68c | 782.34$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampshire | 59c | 634.31$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Hampshire | 57c | 553.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Essex | 43c | 541.88$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Essex | 19c | 507.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Essex | 47c | 405.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Essex | 49c | 316.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Hampshire | 57c | 314.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Essex | 23c | 252.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Hampshire | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hampshire | 60c | 125.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Hampshire | 61c | 116.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Hampshire | 55c | 113.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Essex | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Hampshire | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Hampshire | 66c | 99.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Hampshire | 55c | 98.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Hampshire | 51c | 98.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hampshire | 39c | 91.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hampshire | 59c | 84.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Essex | 40c | 81.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hampshire | 45c | 77.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Essex | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Essex | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Hampshire | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Hampshire | 44c | 50.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Essex | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Essex | 41c | 45.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Hampshire | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Essex | 39c | 36.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Essex | 43c | 36.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Hampshire | 62c | 34.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Hampshire | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Hampshire | 61c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hampshire | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Essex | 41c | 30.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hampshire | 35c | 30.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Essex | 43c | 30.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Essex | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Hampshire | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Essex | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Essex | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Hampshire | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hampshire | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Hampshire | 61c | 18.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.