Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Hong Kong, China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5137626def11584c537e1ff3bc9cca4ce9adf23984987222f777217a8391569e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Namibiaof Namibia, Hong Kong, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037a…1202backed Hong Kong, China | 23c | 1,389$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Namibia | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hong Kong, China | 20c | 760.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hong Kong, China | 43c | 300.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hong Kong, China | 20c | 278.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hong Kong, China | 7c | 199.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Namibia | 60c | 167.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Hong Kong, China | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…cdf0backed Hong Kong, China | 38c | 102.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Hong Kong, China | 36c | 85.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hong Kong, China | 32c | 72.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…8542backed Namibia | 79c | 56.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Namibia | 79c | 47.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Hong Kong, China | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Namibia | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Hong Kong, China | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Namibia | 80c | 36.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Namibia | 63c | 35.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Namibia | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Namibia | 55c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Namibia | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Namibia | 54c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Namibia | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Namibia | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.