Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Namibia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8524678825caa36127f7f08bd6ba27577dc35dfc5228ead796b8cde2bd14db7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Namibiaof Nepal, Namibia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Namibia | 64c | 3,700$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.06 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nepal | 7c | 2,860$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…1202backed Nepal | 31c | 2,630$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.21 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Nepal | 23c | 2,198$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Nepal | 2c | 2,153$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Namibia | 75c | 1,737$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Nepal | 3c | 1,185$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…5c88backed Nepal | 2c | 1,169$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Nepal | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nepal | 30c | 931.96$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Namibia | 72c | 894.92$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Namibia | 39c | 858.57$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.8 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…facfbacked Nepal | 8c | 784.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 46c | 773.01$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.65 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Nepal | 11c | 754.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 129 | 16.3%21 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Namibia | 77c | 711.28$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nepal | 38c | 708.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…f4a5backed Nepal | 61c | 691.15$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…a87dbacked Nepal | 36c | 661.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Nepal | 36c | 509$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Namibia | 77c | 426.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nepal | 9c | 403.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 269 | 29.4%79 W · 190 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…9609backed Nepal | 66c | 359.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Namibia | 35c | 345.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Namibia | 79c | 325.78$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Namibia | 48c | 319.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nepal | 35c | 316.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Nepal | 64c | 310.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1c11backed Nepal | 56c | 284.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Nepal | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…1826backed Nepal | 39c | 198.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…38d1backed Namibia | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Namibia | 33c | 134.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Namibia | 79c | 132.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Nepal | 17c | 132.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Nepal | 38c | 130.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Namibia | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Nepal | 17c | 121.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Namibia | 65c | 115.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…54b0backed Namibia | 64c | 109.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Namibia | 65c | 97.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Namibia | 51c | 89.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Nepal | 17c | 79.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nepal | 58c | 76.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…f217backed Nepal | 68c | 76.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Namibia | 36c | 61.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nepal | 18c | 60.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…0e6fbacked Namibia | 50c | 54.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Nepal | 63c | 49.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Nepal | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Nepal | 35c | 41.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…6219backed Namibia | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d8…3c0cbacked Nepal | 64c | 39.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nepal | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Namibia | 36c | 33.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Namibia | 40c | 32.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Namibia | 79c | 31.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nepal | 59c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nepal | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Nepal | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nepal | 45c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…50c7backed Namibia | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Nepal | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…e845backed Namibia | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Nepal | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Nepal | 46c | 23.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…d68abacked Nepal | 55c | 22.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Namibia | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Namibia | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…fd28backed Nepal | 56c | 19.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Nepal | 67c | 15.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.