Cricket · resolved market
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab32cfbab6f77ca0e68b9faff790b3f27fae04e2acb8ef70a9f2dcee6bd5cdd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanuatuof Nepal, Vanuatu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Vanuatu | 28c | 1,092$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Vanuatu | 25c | 1,040$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.82 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nepal | 70c | 842.9$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nepal | 44c | 745$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…13f0backed Nepal | 72c | 545.96$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Nepal | 75c | 499.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Vanuatu | 26c | 477.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Vanuatu | 23c | 422.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nepal | 52c | 405.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Nepal | 72c | 384.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Vanuatu | 51c | 276.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Nepal | 77c | 254.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Vanuatu | 43c | 245.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Nepal | 75c | 197.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Vanuatu | 66c | 182.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nepal | 46c | 145.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Vanuatu | 37c | 128.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Vanuatu | 33c | 113.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Nepal | 77c | 111.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Vanuatu | 33c | 109.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nepal | 75c | 99.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Nepal | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Vanuatu | 25c | 73.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Vanuatu | 26c | 72.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked Nepal | 75c | 63.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…e38abacked Vanuatu | 31c | 61.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Nepal | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7319backed Nepal | 76c | 51.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vanuatu | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Nepal | 69c | 42.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…58fabacked Nepal | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Nepal | 69c | 30.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Nepal | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Vanuatu | 39c | 27.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…b0eabacked Nepal | 66c | 26.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…24d1backed Nepal | 49c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nepal | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…a113backed Nepal | 80c | 23.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…5529backed Vanuatu | 48c | 23.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…01c3backed Nepal | 80c | 22.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 66c | 21.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…32fbbacked Vanuatu | 73c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Nepal | 76c | 19.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…bd3cbacked Nepal | 74c | 17.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatuthis page
- T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Who wins the toss?Vanuatu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.