Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Spain vs Portugal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefada2e4843d3e398fd8cc6c19e123f84781e3dd39fd555728764d5096f6c3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Spain, Portugal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Portugal | 58c | 6,152$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Portugal | 61c | 2,890$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.06 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spain | 39c | 2,407$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.03 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spain | 42c | 1,759$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.6 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Spain | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Spain | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spain | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Spain | 31c | 785.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.56 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Spain | 42c | 752$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spain | 29c | 745.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.42 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portugal | 65c | 489.48$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Spain | 29c | 463$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Portugal | 76c | 436.66$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spain | 39c | 428.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Spain | 23c | 389$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Portugal | 67c | 377.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portugal | 71c | 347.88$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Portugal | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Portugal | 59c | 246.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Spain | 42c | 239.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Portugal | 79c | 210$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Portugal | 61c | 189.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spain | 42c | 149.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Spain | 36c | 137.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Portugal | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Portugal | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Portugal | 78c | 98.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…d796backed Portugal | 68c | 97.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…1a13backed Portugal | 76c | 93.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spain | 16c | 89.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Portugal | 68c | 82.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Portugal | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spain | 32c | 76.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Portugal | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Spain | 43c | 69.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…3b09backed Spain | 32c | 63.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Portugal | 66c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Portugal | 55c | 54.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Portugal | 57c | 50.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Portugal | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Spain | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Spain | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Portugal | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Portugal | 73c | 40.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Spain | 37c | 38.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Portugal | 57c | 38.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spain | 42c | 33.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Portugal | 68c | 33.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…723dbacked Portugal | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Portugal | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Portugal | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Portugal | 60c | 29.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Spain | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Portugal | 78c | 26.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Portugal | 68c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…d0febacked Spain | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Portugal | 69c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.