Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7505713cd907997a11c5ef263661c7e3c79e2782959bdb667f54123c989183e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Durham, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middlesex | 76c | 3,483$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.47 | 651 | 45.9%299 W · 352 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Durham | 19c | 1,469$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.35 | 313 | 49.5%155 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Durham | 24c | 1,343$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 299 | 31.1%93 W · 206 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Durham | 25c | 1,282$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 521 | 47.6%248 W · 273 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Durham | 39c | 1,196$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.06 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Durham | 43c | 1,114$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Middlesex | 70c | 1,095$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Durham | 32c | 937.54$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 254 | 36.2%92 W · 162 L | -16.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Durham | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Middlesex | 45c | 755.35$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 466 | 47.9%223 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…3791backed Middlesex | 43c | 690.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Durham | 35c | 584.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 454 | 41.4%188 W · 266 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Middlesex | 48c | 493.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 654 | 43.6%285 W · 369 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Durham | 51c | 420$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Middlesex | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Middlesex | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Middlesex | 47c | 215$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +19.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Durham | 60c | 177.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Middlesex | 48c | 173.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 501 | 47.1%236 W · 265 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Middlesex | 64c | 163$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 586 | 37.4%219 W · 367 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Durham | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Middlesex | 75c | 130.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Durham | 25c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 670 | 50.7%340 W · 330 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Middlesex | 47c | 123.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Middlesex | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Durham | 53c | 116.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 338 | 41.4%140 W · 198 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Middlesex | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Middlesex | 46c | 97.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Middlesex | 55c | 95.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Middlesex | 43c | 86.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 388 | 48.2%187 W · 201 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…37bdbacked Durham | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Middlesex | 21c | 81.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 201 | 53.2%107 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Middlesex | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Middlesex | 76c | 75.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Middlesex | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Middlesex | 77c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Middlesex | 50c | 57.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Durham | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Middlesex | 77c | 46.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Durham | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…3660backed Durham | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Durham | 70c | 42.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 224 | 35.7%80 W · 144 L | -24.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Durham | 54c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Middlesex | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 444 | 47.5%211 W · 233 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Middlesex | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Durham | 76c | 31.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Durham | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Durham | 58c | 21.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 355 | 40.6%144 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Durham | 56c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 201 | 37.3%75 W · 126 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Middlesex | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Middlesex | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.