Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764edba2aca742c31d5254dbee7a260fd146b9161d9d907c4c2f56ca5cfeaed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Rublev, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Rublev | 22c | 100,541$22,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,093.69 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Alcaraz | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rublev | 14c | 22,510$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.63 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 18,979$14,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.76 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Alcaraz | 67c | 10,804$7,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.78 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Alcaraz | 78c | 9,311$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 8,576$6,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.92 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 7,231$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.82 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rublev | 30c | 4,467$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rublev | 16c | 3,810$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.33 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Rublev | 20c | 3,366$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rublev | 10c | 3,042$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Alcaraz | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rublev | 20c | 2,650$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rublev | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Alcaraz | 80c | 2,169$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Rublev | 23c | 1,979$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.8 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Alcaraz | 80c | 1,681$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 1,503$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.76 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Alcaraz | 66c | 1,187$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.66 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Alcaraz | 68c | 1,171$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Alcaraz | 80c | 1,147$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Rublev | 21c | 1,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Alcaraz | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rublev | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Alcaraz | 80c | 969$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Rublev | 17c | 905.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Alcaraz | 61c | 800$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Alcaraz | 79c | 745.31$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Rublev | 27c | 705.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 566.64$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Alcaraz | 79c | 560$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Alcaraz | 78c | 531.24$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rublev | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Rublev | 21c | 474$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rublev | 27c | 469.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rublev | 24c | 451.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rublev | 14c | 436.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Rublev | 40c | 424.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Alcaraz | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Alcaraz | 76c | 350$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rublev | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Alcaraz | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Alcaraz | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Alcaraz | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rublev | 29c | 298.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Alcaraz | 59c | 283.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Alcaraz | 71c | 264.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 258.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Alcaraz | 80c | 252.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Alcaraz | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Alcaraz | 73c | 235$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Alcaraz | 69c | 215$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alcaraz | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Alcaraz | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Alcaraz | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rublev | 20c | 170.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alcaraz | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…1c4dbacked Rublev | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rublev | 37c | 132.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Alcaraz | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Alcaraz | 72c | 120.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Alcaraz | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rublev | 38c | 105.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Alcaraz | 71c | 100.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Alcaraz | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Alcaraz | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Rublev | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Rublev | 37c | 72.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…6c4fbacked Rublev | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e5…b313backed Alcaraz | 71c | 58.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 58.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Alcaraz | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Alcaraz | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d436backed Rublev | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Alcaraz | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Alcaraz | 68c | 48.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Alcaraz | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Rublev | 33c | 32.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Alcaraz | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Alcaraz | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…a528backed Alcaraz | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Alcaraz | 64c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.