Tennis · resolved market

ATP Cincinnati - Opelka vs. Comesana

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63599e9e1a995157cc94e74bbc5b4a0d16f9444f8509fa5d941c5fd3a4fcb05c

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Comesanaof Opelka, Comesana
Resolved: Aug 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $82,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x95b8…47c9backed Comesana	49c	7,995$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,094.73	284	43%122 W · 162 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Comesana	34c	6,837$2,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,512.68	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Comesana	32c	6,505$2,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,418.82	260	39.2%102 W · 158 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Opelka	66c	4,627$3,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,054.12	960	35.4%340 W · 620 L	-40.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Opelka	57c	3,231$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.6	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Opelka	48c	3,112$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.91	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Opelka	69c	2,926$2,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013.97	132	53.8%71 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Opelka	64c	2,731$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,738	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Opelka	67c	2,356$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.44	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Comesana	39c	1,803$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.92	178	33.1%59 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Comesana	55c	1,328$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.28	1,193	48.9%583 W · 610 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Comesana	46c	1,088$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.28	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Opelka	63c	1,033$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.47	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Comesana	48c	953.3$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.22	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Opelka	66c	922.6$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.51	600	53.8%323 W · 277 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Opelka	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+9.2wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+2,177.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Opelka	74c	611.28$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.39	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Opelka	64c	600$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	819	38.9%319 W · 500 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Opelka	52c	561.28$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.74	2,766	47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Opelka	64c	537.5$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Opelka	55c	506.89$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.43	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Comesana	33c	495$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.12	951	40.1%381 W · 570 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Opelka	55c	490.64$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.44	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Opelka	75c	473.32$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.99	136	53.7%73 W · 63 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Opelka	65c	401.09$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Opelka	65c	400$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Opelka	65c	379.02$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.15	127	37.8%48 W · 79 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Opelka	66c	347$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.02	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Comesana	34c	347$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.02	316	50%158 W · 158 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Comesana	35c	342.86$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.86	60	35%21 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Opelka	48c	305.57$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.78	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Opelka	66c	305.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Opelka	63c	302.95$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	312	55.4%173 W · 139 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Opelka	80c	300$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Comesana	35c	300$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Opelka	57c	300$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	145	40.7%59 W · 86 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e2…aaf4backed Opelka	66c	280.24$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Opelka	64c	257.32$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.68	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74ad…92abbacked Opelka	78c	256.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Comesana	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	480	43.3%208 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Comesana	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	639	42.4%271 W · 368 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Opelka	64c	237.73$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.15	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Opelka	63c	209.19$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.65	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Comesana	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Comesana	20c	200$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	134	35.1%47 W · 87 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Opelka	53c	199.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.99	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Comesana	48c	184.36$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.27	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Comesana	46c	182.17$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.37	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Comesana	23c	180.52$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.62	321	41.1%132 W · 189 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Comesana	35c	161.54$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	159	57.2%91 W · 68 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Opelka	65c	160$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	383	56.9%218 W · 165 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Opelka	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Opelka	65c	154.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	731	47.9%350 W · 381 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Comesana	19c	105.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.5	645	40.2%259 W · 386 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Opelka	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Opelka	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Comesana	21c	87.44$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.44	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Opelka	64c	86.09$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	1,287	60.7%781 W · 506 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Opelka	68c	58.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Comesana	33c	55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.85	1,489	32.6%486 W · 1,003 L	+22.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Opelka	44c	50.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Opelka	59c	50.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Opelka	66c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec00…f896backed Opelka	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Opelka	66c	45.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Opelka	76c	45$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Opelka	64c	41.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	159	61%97 W · 62 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Comesana	34c	41.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.18	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Comesana	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	360	40%144 W · 216 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Opelka	54c	35.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2466…e4afbacked Opelka	64c	30.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Opelka	55c	28.59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Opelka	40c	26.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	75	21.3%16 W · 59 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69cc…cf1fbacked Opelka	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Opelka	59c	17.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	423	59.1%250 W · 173 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

ATP Cincinnati - Opelka vs. Comesana

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market