WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa919ae1288e0b8fd9a1ea017bf83e063aa118e0f6ca95c7191906ffc6d7293b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…d54ebacked Wings | 35c | 4,692$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…0c06backed Wings | 35c | 4,596$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Sparks | 66c | 3,072$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Wings | 34c | 2,972$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 37c | 2,650$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…0e7abacked Sparks | 65c | 2,353$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b10backed Sparks | 65c | 2,334$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa887…363bbacked Sparks | 65c | 2,307$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…dfcbbacked Sparks | 65c | 2,295$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 62c | 1,473$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.35 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Wings | 20c | 1,366$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 71c | 1,361$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.83 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 37c | 1,308$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Wings | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sparks | 77c | 909$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Sparks | 63c | 802$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Wings | 8c | 733$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 23c | 622.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 65c | 599.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Sparks | 65c | 549.02$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Sparks | 67c | 460.27$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sparks | 63c | 416$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 13c | 399.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Sparks | 63c | 318.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sparks | 60c | 317$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 34c | 296.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks | 78c | 262.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sparks | 63c | 230.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sparks | 72c | 225$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sparks | 66c | 201.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Sparks | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wings | 34c | 196.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Sparks | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Wings | 33c | 139.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 20c | 133.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Sparks | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks | 66c | 117$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Wings | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sparks | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Sparks | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Wings | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Wings | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sparks | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Wings | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Wings | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Wings | 40c | 38.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Sparks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Sparks | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Sparks | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.