MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b139bc01de7b712922e3381a8782e3d9c88b5f20e50666b5502489e69b74443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Dodgers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,987,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,940,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,987,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,291,657$528,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763,108.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 289,526$171,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,883.22 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 272,595$160,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,304.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles | 41c | 211,426$86,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,289.81 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers | 59c | 145,939$86,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,352.37 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 59c | 135,770$79,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,916.59 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 87,350$51,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,536.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 78,564$45,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,953.62 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 42c | 66,849$27,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,055.79 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 45,508$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,849.72 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 42,220$24,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,909.61 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 41c | 39,735$16,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,390.87 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 58c | 33,544$19,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,514.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 41c | 31,794$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers | 59c | 29,887$17,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,633.18 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dodgers | 59c | 25,589$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,097.51 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 57c | 19,427$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 42c | 18,405$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,740.65 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 17,391$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dodgers | 58c | 15,471$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,920.02 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 59c | 15,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 58c | 14,326$8,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,309.08 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers | 60c | 6,994$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.91 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 5,391$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 44c | 4,688$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Dodgers | 59c | 3,232$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.76 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 44c | 3,200$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.15 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Dodgers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Dodgers | 48c | 2,592$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.91 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 52c | 2,553$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 49c | 2,481$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.42 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,158$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.38 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers | 47c | 1,912$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.35 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 58c | 1,662$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.86 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,600$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.62 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Orioles | 47c | 1,537$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.46 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Orioles | 40c | 1,512$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Dodgers | 48c | 1,465$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 39c | 1,250$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.47 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,223$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 39c | 1,066$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,057$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 962.23$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Dodgers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 58c | 837$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Dodgers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers | 60c | 828$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.44 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Orioles | 47c | 735$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.06 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 39c | 730$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 49c | 730$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.35 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 630$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Dodgers | 48c | 624.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 42c | 477.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 44c | 458.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Dodgers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 40c | 399.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 44c | 362.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 49c | 347.37$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers | 61c | 336.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 40c | 330.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 299.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers | 59c | 290$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Orioles | 45c | 280$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 57c | 265.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 253$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Dodgers | 49c | 247.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Orioles | 39c | 244$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Orioles | 46c | 241.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked Dodgers | 58c | 240.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 40c | 237.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 41c | 235.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c8…8fbabacked Orioles | 41c | 204.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Orioles | 39c | 204.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Dodgers | 45c | 200.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d433backed Orioles | 41c | 170.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…a0a3backed Orioles | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Orioles | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Oriolesthis page
- Dodgers vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.