MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3acb19c631539d4a9ebaa257b3522a022976773a6def3d030cc956f33db95626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Yankees, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Astros | 50c | 20,938$10,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,482.34 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yankees | 55c | 12,723$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.56 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 56c | 12,659$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.94 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 56c | 8,170$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.71 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 31c | 7,960$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,524 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yankees | 45c | 6,873$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.72 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astros | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 49c | 5,641$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.13 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astros | 45c | 5,413$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.42 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 48c | 5,388$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Astros | 75c | 5,353$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Yankees | 58c | 5,192$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yankees | 4c | 4,610$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 55c | 4,298$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.23 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yankees | 27c | 4,017$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees | 26c | 3,923$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yankees | 67c | 3,916$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.35 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 76c | 3,327$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.02 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yankees | 40c | 2,847$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.39 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 39c | 2,552$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Astros | 41c | 2,429$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Astros | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 75c | 2,075$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 34c | 1,665$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Astros | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 44c | 1,480$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.21 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 42c | 1,449$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 67c | 1,341$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.73 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 44c | 1,284$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.86 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 46c | 1,266$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Astros | 44c | 1,019$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.64 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yankees | 37c | 1,001$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yankees | 15c | 1,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 46c | 999.07$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.51 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 75c | 978.67$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Yankees | 55c | 902.23$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Astros | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…c6f9backed Astros | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yankees | 54c | 783.41$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 2c | 780.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 11c | 580$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 44c | 574.29$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 44c | 527.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Astros | 32c | 516.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 18c | 504.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yankees | 28c | 500.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yankees | 54c | 432$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 46c | 424.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 45c | 424$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Yankees | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yankees | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Astros | 31c | 381$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Astros | 43c | 375.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yankees | 55c | 365.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 31c | 363.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Astros | 48c | 361$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…bcd2backed Yankees | 36c | 358.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yankees | 70c | 350$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 23c | 341.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yankees | 69c | 334.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yankees | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Astros | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Yankees | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Astros | 54c | 268.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yankees | 62c | 255$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yankees | 30c | 239.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 41c | 227.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…7793backed Yankees | 52c | 226.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 55c | 225.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Yankees | 54c | 223.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Astros | 51c | 219.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 10c | 219$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 46c | 215.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 46c | 214.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yankees | 52c | 213$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Yankees | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Astros | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yankees | 53c | 187.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Astros | 55c | 186$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Astrosthis page
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Astros won
- Yankees vs. Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.