NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b005075f57d2c690870127b7e32d64d1bbb2d0907842919bc73692a28a92cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawks of Chiefs , Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc70c…0dccbacked Chiefs | 17c | 12,443$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Seahawks | 65c | 4,213$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.6 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Chiefs | 35c | 3,000$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Chiefs | 16c | 2,817$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.86 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Chiefs | 15c | 1,251$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Seahawks | 59c | 1,187$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.86 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Chiefs | 35c | 1,182$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…6576backed Chiefs | 39c | 1,154$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Chiefs | 32c | 1,100$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chiefs | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Chiefs | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Chiefs | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Chiefs | 33c | 923.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Chiefs | 25c | 851$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seahawks | 76c | 733.89$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Seahawks | 73c | 731.47$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Seahawks | 60c | 709.6$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Seahawks | 59c | 674.77$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Seahawks | 67c | 630$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Seahawks | 61c | 623$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chiefs | 20c | 595.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Chiefs | 42c | 590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Chiefs | 25c | 586.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Seahawks | 59c | 577.88$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Seahawks | 61c | 531$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 17c | 530.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Chiefs | 2c | 525$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Seahawks | 58c | 490.79$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Seahawks | 60c | 479.92$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Chiefs | 44c | 452.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chiefs | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Chiefs | 42c | 376.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Chiefs | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Chiefs | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Seahawks | 67c | 300.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Seahawks | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Seahawks | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Chiefs | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Chiefs | 15c | 276.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…db9dbacked Chiefs | 34c | 260.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Seahawks | 71c | 260$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Seahawks | 69c | 252.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seahawks | 58c | 240.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chiefs | 42c | 240.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Seahawks | 65c | 239.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 42c | 238.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chiefs | 33c | 229.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Chiefs | 9c | 218.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chiefs | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chiefs | 40c | 200.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Seahawks | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Seahawks | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Seahawks | 77c | 183.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Seahawks | 64c | 180.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Seahawks | 61c | 176.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Seahawks | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Chiefs | 8c | 158$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Chiefs | 33c | 153.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…09fbbacked Chiefs | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Seahawks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Seahawks | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Chiefs | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Seahawks | 59c | 134.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Seahawks | 61c | 130.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Seahawks | 60c | 122.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Chiefs | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Chiefs | 17c | 116.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Seahawks | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Seahawks | 64c | 109.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Seahawks | 56c | 105.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Seahawks | 60c | 100.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chiefs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Chiefs | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Chiefs | 12c | 95.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Chiefs | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Seahawks | 58c | 92.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Seahawks | 73c | 89.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Chiefs | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +637.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Chiefs | 28c | 77.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Seahawks | 60c | 74.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Seahawks | 55c | 70.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Seahawks | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…caedbacked Chiefs | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Seahawks | 72c | 65.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chiefs | 34c | 65.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…3063backed Chiefs | 42c | 65.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Seahawks | 73c | 65.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Chiefs | 17c | 65.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…a255backed Chiefs | 42c | 61.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Seahawks | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chiefs | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Chiefs | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Chiefs | 43c | 46.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…b157backed Seahawks | 59c | 45.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…c15fbacked Seahawks | 62c | 44.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…d2dabacked Seahawks | 62c | 44.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Seahawks | 75c | 44.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c09dbacked Seahawks | 62c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…b08dbacked Seahawks | 62c | 43.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.