Premier League · resolved market
Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d3134a0d0d8e39c84f2338ddb0b97c0ca24a6726cc7221eee0c567d712d05d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 41c | 44,143$18,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,851.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 60c | 21,186$12,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,711.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 65c | 6,733$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.62 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes | 63c | 4,291$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 49c | 3,455$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.95 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,272$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 1,115$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 52c | 606.05$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 66c | 510$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 52c | 413.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 42c | 299.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 268.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 55c | 182.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 68c | 42.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?this page
- Will Grimsby Town F.C vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United beat Grimsby Town F.C?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.