Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Grimsby Town F.C?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83282aaee4e8fcc7367c64d6cf9d82bc63803001ffbecff5b3a82b237aab2986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed No | 15c | 16,459$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,975.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 60c | 5,544$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.54 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 78c | 4,400$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 77c | 1,318$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…ab26backed No | 79c | 846.79$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 10c | 721.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.79 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 67c | 400$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 391.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…6c00backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…8699backed Yes | 13c | 150.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…5144backed Yes | 61c | 111.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Grimsby Town F.C?this page
- Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?No won
- Will Grimsby Town F.C vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.