MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8b596a67c32084b51a63b7abfe0247b70fba7593134ad378b2cd1eccffe3c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Pirates, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 42c | 201,023$84,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,644.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Pirates | 58c | 48,000$27,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,840 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 55c | 42,102$23,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,252.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Pirates | 60c | 33,273$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.12 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 62c | 32,046$19,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,931.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 58c | 30,222$17,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,529 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 38c | 26,347$10,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,236.62 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 60c | 23,907$14,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,285.87 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pirates | 58c | 20,688$11,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,998.81 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 42c | 18,558$7,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,763.39 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 58c | 15,026$8,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,715.08 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 59c | 14,846$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.27 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Pirates | 58c | 11,700$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pirates | 58c | 10,086$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.82 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 44c | 7,856$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.53 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Orioles | 41c | 7,319$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 46c | 7,041$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Pirates | 58c | 6,740$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles | 44c | 6,030$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.96 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Orioles | 41c | 6,024$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.14 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 58c | 4,841$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 39c | 4,047$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Pirates | 58c | 3,218$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Pirates | 28c | 3,018$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pirates | 53c | 2,798$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.78 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pirates | 61c | 2,584$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.82 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 67c | 2,549$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Pirates | 64c | 2,512$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 40c | 2,191$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pirates | 70c | 2,134$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 41c | 2,124$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.16 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 57c | 2,017$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.57 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 58c | 2,009$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.88 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 42c | 1,954$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.05 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 45c | 1,863$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 38c | 1,501$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Orioles | 59c | 1,418$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.12 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Orioles | 40c | 1,300$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pirates | 64c | 1,062$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Pirates | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Orioles | 40c | 850$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pirates | 59c | 848.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Orioles | 42c | 790$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Pirates | 58c | 690.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.28 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Pirates | 66c | 674.92$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 38c | 673.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Pirates | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Pirates | 59c | 644.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Pirates | 56c | 642.72$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Pirates | 64c | 628.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.86 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 64c | 628.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 72c | 570$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pirates | 71c | 566$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Pirates | 58c | 536.38$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 42c | 506.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 30c | 503.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pirates | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Orioles | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Orioles | 61c | 495.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.17 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Orioles | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 43c | 450.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Orioles | 50c | 402.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Orioles | 42c | 396.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 30c | 386.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pirates | 59c | 380.76$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Pirates | 30c | 369.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 44c | 330$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pirates | 57c | 312.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Orioles | 41c | 310.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Orioles | 37c | 302.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Pirates | 58c | 295.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Pirates | 49c | 287.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 41c | 274.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 58c | 267.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 58c | 257.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 42c | 254$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Orioles | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Pirates | 58c | 236.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 58c | 226.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Oriolesthis page
- Pirates vs. Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Pirates (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.