MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514bd24b2d3f0f0f3f62cb53e3efeed8b9b1ce6b96d26310a842b42113f92ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Texas Rangers | 0c | 47,312$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 44,444$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 40,883$22,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,124.65 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 38,920$21,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,514 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 22,910$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.46 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 20,399$8,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,972.57 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 12,805$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 10,497$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.76 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 9,293$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.02 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,752$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 8,333$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 7,326$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.73 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 7,322$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.08 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 7,271$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Texas Rangers | 15c | 6,899$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,402$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.05 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 5,805$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.93 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,646$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.17 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 4,196$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.86 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 3,446$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.85 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 3,417$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,313$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 3,009$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.19 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,983$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.24 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,579$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,263$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 2,223$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 2,176$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.28 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 2,154$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,973$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.91 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,950$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.58 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 1,818$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,694$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.15 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Texas Rangers | 10c | 1,561$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,473$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,271$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.14 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 1,240$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,180$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.16 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Texas Rangers | 13c | 1,163$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,150$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,136$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 1,119$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 1,022$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 1,018$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 13c | 999.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 944.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.11 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 884.72$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 830.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 803.87$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.7 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 689.33$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.41 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 686.35$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.86 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…ded0backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 656.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 595$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 577.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 550.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 541.52$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 516.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Texas Rangers | 14c | 504.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 488.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 487.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 474.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 459.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…23edbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 445.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 436.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 436.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 435.7$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 435$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 426.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…9ad2backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 367.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Texas Rangers | 18c | 366.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 357$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 320.85$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 314.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 307.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 290$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 274.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 274.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 260$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 247.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 246.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 246$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 245.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 243.49$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 240$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 236.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 230.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.