MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93897bb43859ca3ae55d52c8834bfc4dd0b7f69be8f3bbb81d497770c456439f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 46c | 69,340$31,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,353.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 54c | 50,000$26,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,900 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 14,213$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.87 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 57c | 12,304$7,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,071.78 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 11,163$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.02 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 6,438$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.78 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 46c | 4,203$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.65 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 41c | 2,807$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.37 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 2,800$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.3 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 45c | 2,369$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.02 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 1,183$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.87 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over | 46c | 1,177$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 1c | 875.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 49c | 795.68$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 679.43$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 620.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 564.82$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.3 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 564.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 505.61$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 54c | 476.36$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.73 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 52c | 465.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Over | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 377.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 320.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 52c | 318.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 42c | 291.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 278.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 255.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 246.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 199.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 57c | 186.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 57c | 170.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 170$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 159.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 64c | 157.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 135.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 43c | 134.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 132.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 125.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Under | 58c | 108.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 34c | 103.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 54c | 81.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 46c | 79.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 46c | 77.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 74.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 43c | 66.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 65.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 62.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 46c | 60.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 58.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 54.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 53.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 35c | 53.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 22c | 49.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 51c | 46.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 38c | 45.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 43c | 41.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 35c | 38.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 57c | 35.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…01a8backed Over | 32c | 32.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 43c | 29.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 45c | 29.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 38c | 27.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 24.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.