South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52843695d0903ddee742da1e943a75b5d44ea8a531f559bdf7778eeb398ffeeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 42c | 71,777$30,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,062.83 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Under | 58c | 69,974$40,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,389.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 7,981$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 56c | 3,572$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.71 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 56c | 3,555$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Under | 56c | 1,652$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 39c | 1,643$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.83 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 1,568$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,197$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 58c | 988.25$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 912.3$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 56c | 854.33$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 58c | 682.36$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Under | 60c | 659.78$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 56c | 654.26$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 56c | 648.49$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 73c | 590.4$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 577.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 567.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 41c | 469.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 457.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 399.62$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 75c | 392.12$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 8c | 350.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 331.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 40c | 299.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 222.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 222.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 222.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 26c | 197.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Over | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…ed56backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…790ebacked Over | 26c | 108.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 43c | 93.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 42c | 89.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 62c | 80.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 60c | 78.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Under | 58c | 75.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 40c | 75.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 20c | 72.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 59c | 68.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 57c | 55.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Under | 56c | 52.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 52.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 48.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 65c | 46.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 45.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…a428backed Over | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 60c | 38.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…d50fbacked Over | 38c | 37.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Under | 60c | 28.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 56c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 27.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…ac80backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 65c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 77c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.