South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7307cd6a243c542500ce4c56729efdbd49b2f2e151354f9ec6d3d855d1eeb442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 69c | 12,950$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.35 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 9,720$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.38 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 57c | 7,024$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 3,889$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 3,555$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.05 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 2,967$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 65c | 1,865$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 1,285$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 31c | 1,268$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 31c | 1,175$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 31c | 1,145$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,099$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.55 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 971.25$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.85 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Under | 33c | 787.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Under | 31c | 533.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 471.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 440.07$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 355.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 67c | 311.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 31c | 262.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 39c | 197.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 32c | 176.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 35c | 141.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 35c | 112.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 45c | 107.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 35c | 102.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 97.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 57c | 85.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 54c | 78.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 64.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 34c | 61.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 43c | 58.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 43c | 58.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 70c | 58.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 31c | 54.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 50.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 49c | 48.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 35c | 46.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 45.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 34c | 38.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 34c | 38.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 70c | 32.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 64c | 26.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 52c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.