South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9c6efe12b62a4935aa94ad287f8a3d2a9bd437c55d0bb38109f7f4d1f1b89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSyD Macaráof CA Tigre, CSyD Macará
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CA Tigre | 39c | 48,742$19,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,022.46 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CSyD Macará | 61c | 19,152$11,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CA Tigre | 40c | 12,741$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed CSyD Macará | 60c | 9,904$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 8,843$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 3,092$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.14 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 2,893$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.15 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CSyD Macará | 62c | 2,406$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.67 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 1,968$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed CSyD Macará | 60c | 1,848$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 1,620$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 1,520$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.83 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CSyD Macará | 61c | 1,462$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.19 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked CSyD Macará | 62c | 815.3$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSyD Macará | 65c | 777.3$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CSyD Macará | 65c | 698$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CSyD Macará | 65c | 698$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked CSyD Macará | 62c | 657.13$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 638.62$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSyD Macará | 61c | 635.49$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.96 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CSyD Macará | 65c | 600.46$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked CA Tigre | 37c | 521.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed CSyD Macará | 60c | 326.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed CA Tigre | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CA Tigre | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed CA Tigre | 38c | 202.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CSyD Macará | 62c | 179.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 179.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CA Tigre | 31c | 157.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CSyD Macará | 63c | 141.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked CSyD Macará | 61c | 133.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CA Tigre | 26c | 106.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed CA Tigre | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 99.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed CSyD Macará | 59c | 90.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed CA Tigre | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…b85fbacked CA Tigre | 41c | 66.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…465ebacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 60.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked CSyD Macará | 62c | 59.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…9f16backed CA Tigre | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed CSyD Macará | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CSyD Macará | 65c | 45.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked CA Tigre | 40c | 43.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…1463backed CSyD Macará | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed CSyD Macará | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CSyD Macará | 66c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed CSyD Macará | 66c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CSyD Macará | 74c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed CSyD Macará | 61c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed CSyD Macará | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…ac80backed CSyD Macará | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed CSyD Macará | 64c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CSyD Macará | 60c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)this page
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.