NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d6efca00f2c5d6360029720cda8aee9a602a2e05b8f24d09711efd87cb4161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wild | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.05 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Stars | 32c | 1,339$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.45 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 69c | 1,290$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Stars | 31c | 1,276$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.42 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Stars | 30c | 832.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.27 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Wild | 69c | 641.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Wild | 70c | 640.26$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Stars | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wild | 70c | 478.83$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Wild | 69c | 456.46$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Stars | 21c | 321.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 77c | 277.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Stars | 32c | 222.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wild | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 75c | 188.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Stars | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Stars | 31c | 140.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Wild | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Stars | 23c | 129.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 30c | 126.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 75c | 83.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Wild | 67c | 64.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stars | 26c | 61.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Stars | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 33c | 59.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Stars | 33c | 37.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wild | 69c | 36.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Wild | 77c | 32.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars | 34c | 31.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Wild | 77c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 71c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wild (-3.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. StarsWild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.