TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c6,828$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.0641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under9c3,886$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7431828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Over54c3,115$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.344555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over80c2,750$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under46c1,728$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over71c1,513$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under20c1,453$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.582,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under45c1,241$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under20c1,032$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.364148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c1,010$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.342948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c735.34$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over53c729.34$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3138445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c585.96$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under15c556.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.569321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a5…767bbacked Under48c555.04$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d2…3f27backed Over53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c544.76$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0422946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c491.66$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2538849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c441.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under46c420.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6236349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under36c333$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over38c325.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c319.17$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.442857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under9c298.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.386734.3%23 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under14c257.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.531,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.524442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0b10backed Over53c212.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under31c205$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…dcadbacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…e38cbacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f5…edd5backed Over53c201.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under43c201.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.849944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under45c195.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c192.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.495358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…1f66backed Under48c186.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c184.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c172.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf10…96c3backed Over55c171.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over79c170.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.312,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c168.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.382,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under46c162.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5616235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c152.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa57f…930ebacked Under48c145.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c131$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4292049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eca…87dabacked Under48c111.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Under48c101.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.532272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fd…b476backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.445345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4436652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.310744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Under48c87.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Under48c87.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d7…b138backed Under48c87.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over79c84.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.755455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd1…7e42backed Under51c73.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.652171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under48c72.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Under47c72.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under48c70.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9143256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.638147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over72c62.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29b…5568backed Under48c58.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2211054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2443250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over39c49.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9359852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8418941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4512357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c44.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under36c40.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.728850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.386251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over53c35.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under45c35.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.226134.4%21 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under45c33.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over53c31.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6210447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c30.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.489856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c29.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c26.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4611058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c25.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over55c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.132458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over53c19.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2642558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.