NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8962660088a6f8b63789fa25bfaec208fc8aec9de3f4e94a195790527a1e7536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 7,962$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.2 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 54c | 3,599$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,522$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 2,901$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.8 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 1,644$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.13 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 1,043$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.31 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 56c | 997.29$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.39 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 584.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 43c | 532$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 432$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 65c | 388.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 353.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 56c | 329.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 41c | 267.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 213.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 44c | 193.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 63c | 164.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 156.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 67c | 146.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 46c | 145.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Under | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 39c | 118.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 117.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 112.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 57c | 105.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 96.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 63c | 92.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Under | 59c | 89.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 76c | 86.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 56c | 81.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 73.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 44c | 73.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 38c | 67.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 60c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 54c | 63.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 60.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 42c | 59.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 44c | 53.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 48.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 58c | 47.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 46.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 68c | 45.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 66c | 44.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Over | 43c | 43.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 40c | 42.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 41.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 47c | 40.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 50c | 38.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 44c | 37.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 36.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 44c | 35.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 34.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…2c21backed Over | 45c | 34.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…5ab1backed Under | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Over | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 46c | 28.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 58c | 26.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…f122backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 24.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 58c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…94babacked Under | 58c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3730…1603backed Under | 59c | 19.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 57c | 18.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-3.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. StarsWild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.