La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e4543922f188f7f2fddd5943b1f64bb6bffe3227cb017e4d838ae9fcfdf031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,779 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 8,974$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.53 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 77c | 5,165$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Over | 37c | 4,021$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 44c | 3,878$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,960$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.33 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 1,499$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 45c | 1,198$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 42c | 1,130$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 991.6$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.03 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 23c | 962.24$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 944.79$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 37c | 928.92$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 26c | 751.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 44c | 572.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 35c | 443.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 45c | 442.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 425.4$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 44c | 341.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Over | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 12c | 260.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 19c | 202.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 9c | 200.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Under | 59c | 165.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 152.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…81a7backed Under | 44c | 115.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 102.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 57c | 89.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Under | 64c | 78.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 61.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…319abacked Over | 31c | 51.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 41.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…9ba4backed Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Under | 63c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…5c64backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…5160backed Under | 70c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.