TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Real Betis Balompiéof Athletic Club, Real Betis Balompié
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,135 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeab6…d4c6backed Athletic Club23c1,249$287 inLost-$287.2711820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié77c1,118$862 inWon+$255.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletic Club72c356.05$256 inLost-$255.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Real Betis Balompié78c256.41$200 inWon+$56.4114549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Real Betis Balompié25c196$49 inWon+$1473240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Real Betis Balompié28c175.89$49 inWon+$126.783330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Real Betis Balompié31c161.29$50 inWon+$111.2920148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Real Betis Balompié32c123.97$40 inWon+$83.8712044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…44c9backed Athletic Club13c123.65$16 inLost-$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Athletic Club37c92.24$34 inLost-$3449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Betis Balompié39c58.3$23 inWon+$35.521,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Athletic Club24c57.54$14 inLost-$13.6817032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Athletic Club22c50$11 inLost-$112733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Betis Balompié76c48.8$37 inWon+$11.712,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Athletic Club71c22.69$16 inLost-$1613457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Real Betis Balompié69c20$14 inWon+$6.25651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Athletic Club58c18$10 inLost-$10.4411947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Real Betis Balompié78c15.19$12 inWon+$3.3441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.