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Tennis · resolved market

Morelia: Coleman Wong vs Nicolas Mejia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Mejiaof Coleman Wong, Nicolas Mejia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,838 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67b4…19acbacked Coleman Wong38c7,866$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.568229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nicolas Mejia56c2,918$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.827,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolas Mejia60c2,705$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nicolas Mejia28c1,934$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.251,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Coleman Wong48c1,904$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Coleman Wong40c1,662$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Coleman Wong37c1,642$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.411,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Nicolas Mejia66c1,512$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.268248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Coleman Wong30c1,360$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.211,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Nicolas Mejia48c1,313$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7549852.4%261 W · 237 L+29.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Mejia37c1,223$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.731,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nicolas Mejia49c1,217$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Coleman Wong74c1,102$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.191,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Nicolas Mejia32c983.93$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.078855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Mejia55c971.8$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.676,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Coleman Wong30c904.14$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.218,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Coleman Wong38c867.02$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.352,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Coleman Wong56c837.37$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.111,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicolas Mejia69c808.39$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…28f4backed Nicolas Mejia70c645.17$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Coleman Wong68c597.67$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.671,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Coleman Wong40c505.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.994,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa2…6e69backed Coleman Wong36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Coleman Wong52c459.32$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.856,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Nicolas Mejia70c429.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2937071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Coleman Wong70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Coleman Wong31c399.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12467331.5%212 W · 461 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Nicolas Mejia31c371.4$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4455841.4%231 W · 327 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Coleman Wong22c351.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Mejia53c342.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.162,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Mejia69c310.51$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.268,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Nicolas Mejia68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Coleman Wong38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nicolas Mejia32c271.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Coleman Wong38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Nicolas Mejia28c258.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6525546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Nicolas Mejia28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18065950.5%333 W · 326 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Coleman Wong34c246.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1362534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Coleman Wong71c240.9$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0424249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Mejia29c239.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.471,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Coleman Wong61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.970752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Nicolas Mejia70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Coleman Wong38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Nicolas Mejia32c182.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2743342.5%184 W · 249 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Coleman Wong11c178.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724413.6%6 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…c629backed Coleman Wong32c169.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Coleman Wong42c165.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.824,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Coleman Wong52c157.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.123248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Coleman Wong61c155.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.391,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Nicolas Mejia80c148.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6422567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Coleman Wong35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Coleman Wong72c140$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Coleman Wong68c139$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Coleman Wong73c137$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0138268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Coleman Wong36c129.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5193048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Coleman Wong70c114.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8734848.3%168 W · 180 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Coleman Wong42c114.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.457267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Nicolas Mejia47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3817051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Nicolas Mejia47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3812739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Coleman Wong38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Coleman Wong69c103$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.077,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nicolas Mejia28c102.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8615353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Coleman Wong36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Coleman Wong68c98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.781,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60bc…6583backed Nicolas Mejia30c92.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde48…accbbacked Coleman Wong56c92.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.827254.2%39 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Coleman Wong45c89.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Coleman Wong52c88.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1527539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Coleman Wong52c83.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561,47245%662 W · 810 L+42.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Coleman Wong36c79.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7290535.7%323 W · 582 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Nicolas Mejia69c78.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3714752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Coleman Wong69c77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Coleman Wong52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Coleman Wong36c75.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0131643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Coleman Wong70c73.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed Nicolas Mejia70c71.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Coleman Wong35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Coleman Wong37c69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.781,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Nicolas Mejia32c61.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6417447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Coleman Wong34c59.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Nicolas Mejia50c58.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0238460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Coleman Wong19c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8118020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nicolas Mejia28c55.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.116942%29 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Coleman Wong69c55.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3839872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Mejia27c49.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.982,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Nicolas Mejia31c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Coleman Wong60c45.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.918740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a3…2aa6backed Nicolas Mejia47c40.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Coleman Wong76c39.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Coleman Wong28c38.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Coleman Wong57c36.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0432050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Nicolas Mejia31c36.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2659440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Coleman Wong69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Coleman Wong71c34.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3232450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Coleman Wong50c33.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.865264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Mejia56c30.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.426,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Nicolas Mejia40c30.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3810152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Coleman Wong48c29.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2534950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…145ebacked Nicolas Mejia48c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.034634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…dcdebacked Coleman Wong71c28.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.