Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2cbf27dc122eab851acdc73f9ae55aad38b25723b65ec39b109b946255f72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 2,676$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,116$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 1,062$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 921.6$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 699.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.58 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 25c | 446.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.63 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 366.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 27c | 288.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 38c | 235.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 75c | 225.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 163.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 34c | 145.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 134.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 58c | 117.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 56.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 25c | 55.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 27c | 48.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 47.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 45.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 65c | 45.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…78febacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Yes | 42c | 35.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 75c | 28.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 40c | 27.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 75c | 27.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 55c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will SK Brann vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.