Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7056af12feaab27e3bcd3c58b9a365cae308f8523a55d94c63d1e02dffeb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 2,180$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked VP.Prodigy | 1c | 2,097$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.31 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 1,864$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.82 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 1,154$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.62 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 1,000$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 999.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 814.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 767.56$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 648.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.53 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 550$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.45 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked VP.Prodigy | 16c | 463.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.65 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 408.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 400$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 392.45$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.84 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 356.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 353.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 340.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 339.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 314.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a0a4backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 292.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VP.Prodigy | 9c | 275$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 239.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed VP.Prodigy | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 202$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 201.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 164.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 147.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 145.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 144.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 137.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 123.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 94.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…3e5fbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 77.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 74.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 66.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 66.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 63.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 59.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 50.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 48.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 46.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 45.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 38.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…aed9backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 37.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 27.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 27.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 25.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.