South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70aa5ece95c33f4c745bdeaf585f5a6cbb9d245f746b8f8a6de01e2d5f185541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 63c | 48,194$30,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,855.87 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 61c | 34,616$21,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,384.75 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 18,737$10,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,945.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 17,770$8,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,102.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 15,026$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 42c | 14,629$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,453.09 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 8,762$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 5,210$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 37c | 1,911$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 75c | 1,327$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 14c | 1,034$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.34 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 1,021$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.52 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 73c | 965$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.63 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 726.24$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 37c | 555.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 65c | 461.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 33c | 369.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 364$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 354.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 44c | 341.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 35c | 286.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 233.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 178.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 159.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 63c | 157.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 154.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 61c | 144.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 14c | 142.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 59c | 139.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 36c | 129.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 37c | 121.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 37c | 115.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 62c | 108$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 14c | 102.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 36c | 101.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 94.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 59c | 94.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 50c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 86.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 51c | 81.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Yes | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 54c | 67.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Yes | 65c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 59.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 55.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9568backed No | 37c | 51.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ab…d015backed No | 37c | 51.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…37d6backed No | 37c | 51.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 37c | 50.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…982bbacked No | 37c | 50.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes | 42c | 45.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Yes | 61c | 45.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 43.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 56c | 40.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 39.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…83c8backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 62c | 35.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 60c | 34.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 39c | 33.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 44c | 33.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 48c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Yes | 63c | 27.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 26.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.