South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b871c6bc40cf38cc422a9ab18cf8383db9d3f72c2a06801914b0b06c322db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,344 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 28,185$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.64 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 20,486$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 24c | 16,872$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.32 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 13,159$9,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 46c | 3,721$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.82 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 22c | 2,679$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.54 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,621$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,249$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 25c | 816.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 538.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 386$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 364.44$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 28c | 296.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 75c | 287.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 46c | 271.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 251.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 241.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 53c | 230.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 25c | 206.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 31c | 190.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 154.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 149.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 25c | 146.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 135.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 70c | 130.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 105.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 96.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Yes | 43c | 93.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 72c | 91.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 72c | 69.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 68.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 58.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 65c | 56.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Yes | 48c | 56.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 46c | 49.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Yes | 47c | 47.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 72c | 34.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e8d0backed No | 65c | 31.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 30.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 77c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 57c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…c68bbacked No | 74c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e7…1d7bbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…c8a3backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…53c9backed No | 74c | 13.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.