Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d188c320fb2fa8aebaf4dcf94f5e7016001ddb777b32d04a7105880721f559f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Golden Gophersof Green Bay Phoenix, Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 19c | 9,687$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 73c | 4,670$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 781.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 10c | 723.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 79c | 666.36$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2526backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 70c | 498.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 2c | 469.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Green Bay Phoenix | 15c | 426.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 13c | 413.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 36c | 332.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 6c | 259.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 16c | 254.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 17c | 229.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 69c | 202.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 76c | 163.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 63c | 126.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 107.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 90.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…d26dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 83.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 68.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 68c | 65.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Green Bay Phoenix | 32c | 62.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Green Bay Phoenix | 33c | 59.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 53.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 76c | 41.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 38.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 64c | 36.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 75c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.