Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f2079233718e5677e190c22b5834f66701ef1470a806d4985b5191900dd7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 8,706$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 5,667$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,786$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.82 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 490.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 482.4$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 443.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.57 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 11c | 209.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 204.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 25c | 172$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 157.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 128.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 118.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 68c | 101.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 91.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 35c | 79.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 78.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 71.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 64c | 62.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 56.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…955fbacked No | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 49.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 50c | 47.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 46.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 70c | 24.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 69c | 15.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.