Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6300990dc19195e41d2da3c488fd9f61e072673e3c4fa5b448ff8e35c9b08312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 2,646$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.27 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 1,889$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Fucsovics | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Fucsovics | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Fucsovics | 45c | 766.75$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Fucsovics | 54c | 595.93$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Fucsovics | 53c | 566.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fucsovics | 54c | 486.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 439.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fucsovics | 53c | 431.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Fucsovics | 3c | 381.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Fucsovics | 53c | 339.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Fucsovics | 53c | 319.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 226.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Fucsovics | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fucsovics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Fucsovics | 53c | 174.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Auger-Aliassime | 76c | 118.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fucsovics | 27c | 96.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fucsovics | 56c | 83.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 76.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Fucsovics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Fucsovics | 53c | 67.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 62.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 54.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Fucsovics | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…d658backed Fucsovics | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Fucsovics | 52c | 37.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 35.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)this page
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Marton Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton FucsovicsFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs FucsovicsAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.