NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648e60b83ef5700f1601d29dcaa1a1963e3884c26e54a842c01a9ffb510b174b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Packers | 35c | 11,511$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Broncos | 25c | 10,764$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.22 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Packers | 78c | 7,219$5,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Broncos | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Packers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Packers | 30c | 4,828$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.76 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Broncos | 38c | 4,799$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.39 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Broncos | 38c | 4,456$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 38c | 3,941$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.6 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Packers | 79c | 3,481$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Broncos | 61c | 2,639$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.28 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Broncos | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Packers | 74c | 2,367$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.77 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Broncos | 62c | 2,132$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.51 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Broncos | 74c | 1,700$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Packers | 31c | 1,651$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.79 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Broncos | 70c | 1,246$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Packers | 30c | 1,140$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Broncos | 69c | 1,088$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.04 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Broncos | 65c | 1,080$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Packers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Broncos | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Broncos | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Broncos | 60c | 766.38$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Packers | 30c | 759.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Packers | 29c | 715.04$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Broncos | 50c | 693.49$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Broncos | 71c | 679.98$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Packers | 30c | 667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Packers | 78c | 633.13$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Broncos | 14c | 509.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Broncos | 36c | 500.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.21 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Broncos | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…87b2backed Broncos | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Packers | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Broncos | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Broncos | 75c | 376.71$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 67c | 360.01$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Broncos | 46c | 354.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Broncos | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Packers | 70c | 324$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Broncos | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Packers | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Packers | 31c | 300$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Broncos | 68c | 257.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Broncos | 40c | 254.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Packers | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Packers | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Broncos | 33c | 249.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Packers | 67c | 239$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Broncos | 40c | 236$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Broncos | 74c | 209.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Packers | 32c | 207.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Broncos | 59c | 204.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Broncos | 16c | 200.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Packers | 27c | 200.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Packers | 29c | 185.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Packers | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Packers | 30c | 161.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Packers | 62c | 134.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Broncos | 58c | 131$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Packers | 28c | 129$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Broncos | 73c | 128.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Broncos | 67c | 128$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Broncos | 40c | 121.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Packers | 58c | 107.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Packers | 56c | 104.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Broncos | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Broncos | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…0c64backed Broncos | 72c | 98.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Packers | 64c | 95.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Broncos | 71c | 89.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Broncos | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Packers | 69c | 76.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Packers | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Broncos | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…269ebacked Packers | 72c | 71.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Broncos | 69c | 71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Broncos | 37c | 69.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 39c | 65.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7a58backed Packers | 79c | 63.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Broncos | 65c | 59.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Broncos | 68c | 53.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd491…d031backed Broncos | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Packers | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Packers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Packers | 59c | 48.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Packers | 27c | 48.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Broncos | 52c | 47.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked Broncos | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…29bdbacked Packers | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Broncos | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Packers | 26c | 39.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Broncos | 49c | 39.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Broncos | 65c | 38.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Broncos | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Broncos | 68c | 35.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Packers | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…4682backed Broncos | 68c | 34.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Packers won
- GB vs. DEN: O/U 40.5Over won
- GB vs. DEN: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: DEN (-3.5)GB won
- Spread: DEN (-6.5)GB won
- Spread: DEN (-7.5)GB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.