South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e12f0d68bd5909299afb888efc4448a753016f0a2e9c73ece8cd737d8ea48b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.79 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 1,804$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 1,262$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 944.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 5c | 935.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Yes | 46c | 649.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 640.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked No | 54c | 561.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 51c | 551.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 23c | 327.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 52c | 255.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 46c | 207.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 49c | 203.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 154.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked No | 51c | 147$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 128.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 46c | 127.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 126.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked No | 54c | 100.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 91.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 90.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 77c | 90.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed No | 54c | 88.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 53c | 81.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 75.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 51c | 65.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 51c | 60.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 46c | 59.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 54c | 58.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 48c | 58.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 49c | 45.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 52c | 44.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…25e3backed Yes | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Yes | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed No | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 52c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 78c | 21.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.